by Peter du Toit | Sep 26, 2026 | Analysis
Beginning this week we are going to be reporting on impacts across the globe resulting from the developing El Niño. The global impacts provide the necessary context to our local monitoring and the need for what we call “no-regret preparedness”. Strong El...
by Peter du Toit | Sep 23, 2026 | Analysis
As part of FutureClimate IQ’s El Niño impact early-warning system, we are now tracking three indicators that can provide early signs that hotter and drier conditions are taking root in the Garden Route. Why these three? Heat (maximum temperature) tells us how...
by Peter du Toit | Sep 22, 2026 | Analysis, Reports & Briefings
From this month, the Climate Intelligence Brief shifts its primary focus from tracking the development of El Niño to monitoring for early signs of its potential impacts across the Garden Route. El Niño is now well established and will continue to be monitored. The...
by Peter du Toit | Sep 16, 2026 | Analysis, Local Climate Intelligence
During the El Niño summit hosted at the University of Pretoria a few days ago Dr Christien Engelbrecht from the South African Weather Service made some interesting observations about precipitation events associated with cut-off low systems during very strong...
by Peter du Toit | Sep 9, 2026 | Analysis, Local Climate Intelligence
As we continue to heat, physical environments are becoming unstable globally. We see this manifest in extreme heatwaves, extreme wildfire events and more powerful storms. In the Garden Route District Climate Change Adaptation Strategy report one of the...
by Peter du Toit | Aug 20, 2026 | Analysis, Local Climate Intelligence
Reading time: 5 minutes The Headline Confidence has increased that the global climate system is moving into an exceptionally strong El Niño event, with multiple independent forecasting centers now converging on a similar outlook. At the same time, the Indian Ocean...